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The Global Investor, our financial newsletter
  January 2004 - Issue 25 Previous Issues  

The Global Investor is a monthly newsletter that covers global investment opportunities and insurance for the expatriate community. This monthly newsletter's goal is to inform the reader of what can and cannot be done in the investment arena when living and working in a foreign country. Whether it's personal pension plans or disability insurance to protect your income - Global Investments has the expertise to handle all the expatriate investors' needs.
The Global Investor, our financial newsletter


Firstly, we wish all of our clients and readers of 'The Global Investor' a prosperous 2004!

If you need any offshore financial advice worldwide or are looking to relocate to Thailand or Hong Kong, please contact us first.. And we will ensure that the right decisions are made, before your funds have been committed.

ECONOMIC & MARKET COMMENTARY
January 2004

Investment Commentary

  • US - Weaker Dollar Boosts Exporters' Earnings
    The US dollar continued to weaken during December, providing a boost to the earnings power of US exporters and helping to support the burgeoning US and global economic recovery. The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ ended the month 4.1% and 0.7% higher respectively in local currency terms.

    Economic data continued to show the growth baton switching from the consumer to the corporate sector and our funds reflect this theme, with overweights in industrial names and underweights in areas such as retail.

  • UK - Market Strong Into Year-End With Currency Providing A Further Boost
    There was a positive tone in the UK market during December, with encouraging economic data and a pick-up in merger activity helping to support sentiment. The FTSE All Share ended the month 5.5% higher in dollar terms, thanks in part to a strong pound. We have upgraded our earnings forecasts for UK stocks and believe that the market will follow suit in the coming months. This will make valuations look attractive and should provide the scope for prices to move higher.

  • Europe - News Flow Patchy But Weak Dollar Boosts Returns
    News flow was mixed in December, with strong economic releases, merger activity and selected earnings upgrades on the positive side and the scandal at Italian food company Parmalat on the negative.

    Overall, the positive news proved the bigger influence, and the FTSE World Europe ex UK Index ended the month 7.5% higher in dollar terms. We believe that the eurozone economy will continue to recover in 2004 and have upgraded our earnings forecasts accordingly. Our portfolios retain their cyclical focus.

  • Japan & Far East - Moving Overweight In Japan
    The Japanese economy continues its export-led recovery, with the authorities repeatedly intervening to ensure that the recovery is not stifled by a strengthening yen. As long as the global economic recovery continues to unfold as expected and the currency situation does not deteriorate, we expect the Japanese market to perform relatively well, and have moved modestly overweight in Japan. In the rest of Asia, the strengthening global economy and recovering domestic consumption, together with attractive valuations and likely earnings upgrades, make us positive on markets.

  • Bonds - Corporate Bonds Still Preferred
    Sentiment on interest rates ebbed and flowed during December, but lower than expected inflation readings in the UK and the US ultimately led investors to conclude that rate hikes were not on the short-term agenda. This helped government bonds to edge higher. Corporate bonds continued to perform well, with positive news such as the well-received new issue from GE outweighing poor news from the spectacular demise of Parmalat. Given the improving growth backdrop, we continue to favour corporate bonds over government issues.
Guaranteed Accumulation Funds - Historical Dividend Rates (gross)
Currency GBP USD EAGLES AUS DEM/EUR HKD JPY
2001 7.15% 5.40% 4.15% 7.15% 5.00% 5.40% 2.20%
2002 7.10% 5.30% 4.15% 7.15% 5.00% 5.30% 2.20%

Guaranteed Investment Returns over 10 Years (gross)
Effective from 1 March 2003
Currency GBP USD EAGLES EUR JPY
Rate 3.50% 3.50% 2.00% 3.00% 0.50%

Source: Zurich International. Dividends declared in the past are not necessarily a guide to the future. The guaranteed investment returns are the current returns available to investors holding the funds for the required term. The guaranteed investment returns are declared in the year of the investment and only apply in respect of the first 10 years of your investment or until the maturity date, if earlier. The interim and bonus dividend credited during the period from policy commencement to the 10 th policy anniversary or maturity date if earlier will not be less than the guaranteed investment returns. For full details of the terms and conditions governing the Guaranteed Accumulation funds, please refer to the 'guide to your investments' booklet, a copy of which is available on request. The guarantor is Zurich International Life Limited.

Source: Zurich International. Figures based on bid prices on the 1st day of each month.
Note:
Past performance for all our funds is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Zurich International - Monthly Investment Bulletin to 1 January 2004 - Page 1 of 4
For further information on our funds, please see our web site at www.zurichintlife.com

You can download all 4 pages of this Investment Bulletin here (Adobe Acrobat file format).


The Global Investor, our financial newsletter

GAA AGM FUTURES FOUNDATION FUND
Reporting Month December 2003

Key Benefits
  • Short term nature of trading renders economic fundamentals and trends irrelevant.
  • 24-hour trading ensures funds work harder.
  • Diversified portfolio with low correlation to global equity markets.
  • Proven track record with annualized rate of return 22.1%.

Key Data

  • Launch Price: USD 100.00
  • Current Price 31 December 2003: USD 91.51
  • Inception Date: 20 December 2002 (Weekly)
  • Internet: www.gaafunds.com

Fund Commentary
The Fund followed last month's record profit with a small loss for the month of December. Trading activity was below normal levels, due to the festive period which restricted activity and caused market volumes to fall.

Against the Yen the US dollar fluctuated without any clear direction over most of the month. The resultant lack of momentum was not optimal for the Fund's trading activities and as a result, Yen trading was responsible for most of the loss for the month.

As the New Year begins, the trend is still clearly towards a weaker US dollar. While that overall trend remains in place, the Fund will be positioned to capture short term changes in volatility that are likely to result.

The strength of the rally in US indices also provided opportunities to capture short term gains. Profits were made from the DAX, Nikkei, and S&P500 on the lead up to the Christmas break.

The outlook for global stock markets remains positive for the early part of 2004. Overall stability of bond markets over the month again restricted trading activity. Going forward, increased volatility in 2004 may result in this being a key sector from which the Fund could benefit.

GAA AGM Futures Foundation Fund Price Changes
Week % Week % Week % Week %
Launch 0.00% 31/03/03 -2.46% 30/06/03 0.13% 03/10/03 -0.97%
27/12/02 -0.11% 04/04/03 -2.29% 04/07/03 0.25% 10/10/03 0.61%
03/01/03 -0.19% 11/04/03 -0.30% 11/07/03 -0.94% 17/10/03 -1.55%
10/01/03 -0.14% 18/04/03 1.95% 18/07/03 -2.25% 24/10/03 2.97%
17/01/03 -0.29% 25/04/03 1.29% 25/07/03 0.59% 31/10/03 -3.55%
24/01/03 -2.41% 30/04/03 1.45% 01/08/03 -3.02% 07/11/03 3.90%
31/01/03 1.28% 02/05/03 0.31% 08/08/03 0.63% 14/11/03 3.56%
07/02/03 -1.04% 09/05/03 2.17% 15/08/03 -2.55% 21/11/03 0.53%
14/02/03 -0.50% 16/05/03 -2.97% 22/08/03 3.59% 28/11/03 5.74%
21/02/03 0.90% 23/05/03 0.36% 29/08/03 -1.68% 05/12/03 -3.07%
28/02/03 -0.19% 30/05/03 -1.94% 05/09/03 -0.52% 12/12/03 -0.40%
07/03/03 2.73% 06/06/03 0.21% 12/09/03 -4.65% 19/12/03 0.08%
14/03/03 -1.94% 13/06/03 -0.54% 19/09/03 4.72% 26/12/03 0.80%
21/03/03 -3.20% 20/06/03 -0.14% 26/09/03 -1.20% 31/12/03 -0.01%
28/03/03 -1.43% 27/06/03 1.39% 30/09/03 -1.31%    

 


Corporate Strength

Fund Manager: Global Asset Allocation Limited
Investment Advisor: AGM Advisory Limited
Custodian: Bank of Bermuda Limited
Administrator: Management International Limited
Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers
Legal Council: Conyers, Dill & Pearman
Regulatory Authority: Bermuda Monetary Authority

Contact Details

Global Asset Allocation Limited
Clarendon House, Church Street
Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda
www.gaafunds.com

For further information contact us at info@gaafunds.com.

For more information and charts about the Fund's performance please download the Fund performance report
here (Adobe Acrobat file format).

The Fund detailed in this document are class funds of GAA Investment Funds Limited (The Company), a Bermuda based mutual fund company. The company is an unregulated collective investment scheme under the UK Financial Services Act 1986, and therefore does not carry the protection provided by the UK regulatory system. This document is not an invitation to make an investment in neither the Company nor its various class funds. Applications for the shares of the various class funds issued by the Company will only be considered on the terms of the prospectus issued by the Company on 1 st march 2000 together with any supplementary prospectuses thereto (the Company Prospectus). This document is being issued by Global Asset Allocation Limited for information purposes only. Changes in foreign exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value or price of the investment. No representation is being made by the Company or by its directors as to the accuracy of completeness of the information contained in this document. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future. The value of shares may fall as well as rise. Returns are paid gross and tax may be due according to the residence or domicile of the investor. Tax concessions are not guaranteed and may change at any time; their value will depend on individual circumstances. It is the investor's responsibility to ensure that the making and holding of an investment complies with any restrictions or other provisions of any relevant trust deed or any other regulations affecting the investor.

Please contact Global Investments for more information
on Tel. (+66-2) 662-2009 or e-mail at info@globalinv.org.

 
 
 
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