Global Investments International Limited
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Global Banking
Trust Services
Offshore Banking
Retirement Plans
Protected Bonds
School Fee Plans
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Financial Consultants, Investment Advisors, Bangkok, Thailand, Asia
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January 2004 - Issue 25 |
Previous Issues
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The Global Investor is a monthly
newsletter that covers global investment opportunities and
insurance for the expatriate community. This monthly
newsletter's goal is to inform the reader of what can and
cannot be done in the investment arena when living and
working in a foreign country. Whether it's personal
pension plans or disability insurance to protect your income
- Global Investments has the expertise to handle all the
expatriate investors' needs.
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Firstly, we wish all of our clients and readers of
'The Global Investor' a prosperous 2004!
If you need any offshore
financial advice worldwide or are looking to relocate to
Thailand or Hong Kong, please contact
us first.. And we will ensure that the right
decisions are made, before your funds have been
committed.
ECONOMIC
& MARKET COMMENTARY
January
2004
Investment
Commentary
- US -
Weaker Dollar Boosts Exporters' Earnings
The US dollar continued to weaken during December,
providing a boost to the earnings power of US
exporters and helping to support the burgeoning US and
global economic recovery. The S&P 500 and the
NASDAQ ended the month 4.1% and 0.7% higher
respectively in local currency terms.
Economic data continued to show the growth baton
switching from the consumer to the corporate sector
and our funds reflect this theme, with overweights in
industrial names and underweights in areas such as
retail.
- UK
- Market Strong Into Year-End
With
Currency Providing A Further Boost
There was a positive tone in the UK market during
December, with encouraging economic data and a pick-up
in merger activity helping to support sentiment. The
FTSE All Share ended the month 5.5% higher in dollar
terms, thanks in part to a strong pound. We have
upgraded our earnings forecasts for UK stocks and
believe that the market will follow suit in the coming
months. This will make valuations look attractive and
should provide the scope for prices to move higher.
- Europe
- News Flow Patchy But Weak Dollar Boosts
Returns
News flow was mixed in December, with strong economic
releases, merger activity and selected earnings
upgrades on the positive side and the scandal at
Italian food company Parmalat on the negative.
Overall, the positive news proved the bigger
influence, and the FTSE World Europe ex UK Index ended
the month 7.5% higher in dollar terms. We believe that
the eurozone economy will continue to recover in 2004
and have upgraded our earnings forecasts accordingly.
Our portfolios retain their cyclical focus.
- Japan
& Far East - Moving Overweight In Japan
The Japanese economy continues its export-led
recovery, with the authorities repeatedly intervening
to ensure that the recovery is not stifled by a
strengthening yen. As long as the global economic
recovery continues to unfold as expected and the
currency situation does not deteriorate, we expect the
Japanese market to perform relatively well, and have
moved modestly overweight in Japan. In the rest of
Asia, the strengthening global economy and recovering
domestic consumption, together with attractive
valuations and likely earnings upgrades, make us
positive on markets.
- Bonds - Corporate
Bonds Still Preferred
Sentiment on interest rates ebbed and flowed during
December, but lower than expected inflation readings
in the UK and the US ultimately led investors to
conclude that rate hikes were not on the short-term
agenda. This helped government bonds to edge higher.
Corporate bonds continued to perform well, with
positive news such as the well-received new issue from
GE outweighing poor news from the spectacular demise
of Parmalat. Given the improving growth backdrop, we
continue to favour corporate bonds over government
issues.
| Guaranteed
Accumulation Funds - Historical Dividend Rates
(gross) |
| Currency |
GBP |
USD |
EAGLES |
AUS |
DEM/EUR |
HKD |
JPY |
| 2001 |
7.15% |
5.40% |
4.15% |
7.15% |
5.00% |
5.40% |
2.20% |
| 2002 |
7.10% |
5.30% |
4.15% |
7.15% |
5.00% |
5.30% |
2.20% |
Guaranteed Investment Returns over 10 Years
(gross)
Effective from 1 March 2003 |
| Currency |
GBP |
USD |
EAGLES |
EUR |
JPY |
| Rate |
3.50%
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3.50%
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2.00%
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3.00%
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0.50%
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Source:
Zurich International. Dividends
declared in the past are not necessarily a guide
to the future. The guaranteed
investment returns are the current returns
available to investors holding the funds for the
required term. The guaranteed investment returns
are declared in the year of the investment and
only apply in respect of the first 10 years of
your investment or until the maturity date, if
earlier. The interim and bonus dividend credited
during the period from policy commencement to
the 10 th policy anniversary or maturity date if
earlier will not be less than the guaranteed
investment returns. For full details of the
terms and conditions governing the Guaranteed
Accumulation funds, please refer to the 'guide
to your investments' booklet, a copy of which
is available on request. The guarantor is Zurich
International Life Limited.
Source: Zurich
International. Figures based on bid prices on
the 1st day of each month.
Note: Past
performance for all our funds is not necessarily
a guide to future performance.
Zurich
International - Monthly Investment Bulletin to 1
January 2004 - Page 1 of 4
For further information on our funds, please
see our web site at www.zurichintlife.com
You
can download all 4 pages of this Investment
Bulletin here
(Adobe Acrobat file format).
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GAA
AGM FUTURES FOUNDATION FUND
Reporting
Month December 2003
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Key Benefits
- Short term
nature of trading renders economic
fundamentals and trends irrelevant.
- 24-hour
trading ensures funds work harder.
- Diversified
portfolio with low correlation to global
equity markets.
- Proven track
record with annualized rate of return 22.1%.
Key
Data
- Launch Price:
USD 100.00
- Current Price
31 December 2003: USD 91.51
- Inception
Date: 20 December 2002 (Weekly)
- Internet: www.gaafunds.com
Fund
Commentary
The Fund followed last month's record profit
with a small loss for the month of December.
Trading activity was below normal levels, due to
the festive period which restricted activity and
caused market volumes to fall.
Against the Yen the US dollar fluctuated without
any clear direction over most of the month. The
resultant lack of momentum was not optimal for
the Fund's trading activities and as a result,
Yen trading was responsible for most of the loss
for the month.
As the New Year begins, the trend is still
clearly towards a weaker US dollar. While that
overall trend remains in place, the Fund will be
positioned to capture short term changes in
volatility that are likely to result.
The strength of the rally in US indices also
provided opportunities to capture short term
gains. Profits were made from the DAX, Nikkei,
and S&P500 on the lead up to the Christmas
break.
The outlook for global stock markets remains
positive for the early part of 2004. Overall
stability of bond markets over the month again
restricted trading activity. Going forward,
increased volatility in 2004 may result in this
being a key sector from which the Fund could
benefit.
| GAA
AGM Futures Foundation Fund Price
Changes |
| Week
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%
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Week
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%
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Week
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%
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Week
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%
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| Launch |
0.00% |
31/03/03 |
-2.46% |
30/06/03 |
0.13% |
03/10/03 |
-0.97%
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| 27/12/02 |
-0.11% |
04/04/03 |
-2.29% |
04/07/03 |
0.25% |
10/10/03 |
0.61% |
| 03/01/03 |
-0.19% |
11/04/03 |
-0.30% |
11/07/03 |
-0.94% |
17/10/03 |
-1.55% |
| 10/01/03 |
-0.14% |
18/04/03 |
1.95% |
18/07/03 |
-2.25% |
24/10/03 |
2.97% |
| 17/01/03 |
-0.29% |
25/04/03 |
1.29% |
25/07/03 |
0.59% |
31/10/03 |
-3.55% |
| 24/01/03 |
-2.41% |
30/04/03 |
1.45% |
01/08/03 |
-3.02% |
07/11/03 |
3.90% |
| 31/01/03 |
1.28% |
02/05/03 |
0.31% |
08/08/03 |
0.63% |
14/11/03 |
3.56%
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| 07/02/03 |
-1.04% |
09/05/03 |
2.17% |
15/08/03 |
-2.55% |
21/11/03 |
0.53% |
| 14/02/03 |
-0.50% |
16/05/03 |
-2.97% |
22/08/03 |
3.59% |
28/11/03 |
5.74% |
| 21/02/03 |
0.90% |
23/05/03 |
0.36% |
29/08/03 |
-1.68% |
05/12/03 |
-3.07% |
| 28/02/03 |
-0.19% |
30/05/03 |
-1.94% |
05/09/03 |
-0.52% |
12/12/03 |
-0.40% |
| 07/03/03 |
2.73% |
06/06/03 |
0.21% |
12/09/03 |
-4.65% |
19/12/03 |
0.08% |
| 14/03/03 |
-1.94% |
13/06/03 |
-0.54% |
19/09/03 |
4.72% |
26/12/03 |
0.80% |
| 21/03/03 |
-3.20% |
20/06/03 |
-0.14% |
26/09/03 |
-1.20% |
31/12/03 |
-0.01% |
| 28/03/03 |
-1.43% |
27/06/03 |
1.39% |
30/09/03 |
-1.31% |
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Corporate Strength |
Fund Manager:
Global Asset Allocation Limited |
| Investment
Advisor: AGM Advisory Limited |
| Custodian:
Bank of Bermuda Limited |
| Administrator:
Management International Limited |
| Auditor:
PricewaterhouseCoopers |
| Legal Council:
Conyers, Dill & Pearman |
| Regulatory
Authority: Bermuda Monetary Authority |
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Contact
Details
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Global Asset Allocation Limited |
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Clarendon House, Church Street |
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Hamilton HM 11,
Bermuda |
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www.gaafunds.com |
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| For further information contact us at info@gaafunds.com. |
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For more information and charts about the
Fund's performance please download the Fund
performance report here
(Adobe Acrobat file format).
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The Fund detailed in this document are class
funds of GAA Investment Funds Limited (The
Company), a Bermuda based mutual fund company.
The company is an unregulated collective
investment scheme under the UK Financial
Services Act 1986, and therefore does not carry
the protection provided by the UK regulatory
system. This document is not an invitation to
make an investment in neither the Company nor
its various class funds. Applications for the
shares of the various class funds issued by the
Company will only be considered on the terms of
the prospectus issued by the Company on 1 st
march 2000 together with any supplementary
prospectuses thereto (the Company Prospectus).
This document is being issued by Global Asset
Allocation Limited for information purposes
only. Changes in foreign exchange rates may have
an adverse effect on the value or price of the
investment. No representation is being made by
the Company or by its directors as to the
accuracy of completeness of the information
contained in this document. Past performance is
not necessarily a guide to the future. The value
of shares may fall as well as rise. Returns are
paid gross and tax may be due according to the
residence or domicile of the investor. Tax
concessions are not guaranteed and may change at
any time; their value will depend on individual
circumstances. It is the investor's
responsibility to ensure that the making and
holding of an investment complies with any
restrictions or other provisions of any relevant
trust deed or any other regulations affecting
the investor.
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Please
contact Global Investments for more information
on Tel. (+66-2) 662-2009 or e-mail at info@globalinv.org.
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